Its interesting to go back and figure out what was missed. The models got the precip amounts pretty much spot on. The freezing levels and winds were a different animal.
Winds: The 5000' wind models showed direct westerlies above 60knots. In reality, the winds had a slight SW orientation which must of sheltered Stevens from the higher winds.
Freezing Levels: I am still pondering how the freezing levels could of been off by 2-3000' for over 36hrs. My theory - A cooler pocket of air over the North Cascades must of stretched further south than the models indicated. Its a good lesson; even in the very short term, the weather models can be very wrong.
No comments:
Post a Comment