April 23, 2016

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0700 Saturday

The Snapshot:   Breezy, cooler temperatures with light passing rain showers and sun break today; mixed rain and snow tonight with a drying trend beginning tomorrow. 

The Science: Satellite imagery shows spotty showers with patchy clouds over the Cascades this morning.  Some upper-level ridging will provide some clear periods between the showers for most of today.   This ridging will also play a part in keeping the bulk of the moisture west of the crest tomorrow.   Therefore, expect the weekend to have a mixed bag of sun, rain, and snow.  Fitting for the final weekend of the season. 

The Long Range:  Next week will be mostly dry with cooler temperatures.  

P.S. This will be the last official Mountain Weather Forecast for the season.  Have a great summer everyone.

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water = .25-.5  Snow = 0-2

Tomorrow’s 24hr water = .25 snow = trace

Trend and Timing:
Rain showers today with mixed rain and snow tonight, partial clearing and drying tomorrow.


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low:  30   High: 40
Freezing level: 6000’  4500’

Trend and Timing:   
Temperatures will climb to near 40 today with freezing temperatures likely early tomorrow morning.   

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base:  5-10 W
Ridge Top: 5-15 W

Trend and Timing:
Gusty westerly winds will continue through the next 24 hrs.




jM

April 22, 2016

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 1000 Friday

The Snapshot:   Cooler with periodic rain showers today and tomorrow; mixed rain and snow for Sunday.

The Science:  A low-pressure system off the coast of Oregon will spin bands of showers north today and tomorrow.  Cooler air aloft will also begin to invade, gradually lowering freezing levels through the weekend.  A cold front will bring more steady mixed precipitation and cooler temperatures on Sunday. 

The Long Range:  Next week will start out partly cloudy, dry and cold with some light rain showers expected towards the end of the week.

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water =  .25 Snow = 0

Tomorrow’s 24hr water = .25-.5  snow =

Trend and Timing:
Light rain showers today and tomorrow. 


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low:  34   High: 52
Freezing level: 9000’ – 5500.'

Trend and Timing:   
Freezing levels will fall to around 5000’ by early tomorrow morning and then continue to fall to 4000’ on Sunday.
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24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base: 0-10 WNW
Ridge Top: 5-10 WNW

Trend and Timing:
Winds begin to strengthen tomorrow with gusty ridge top winds expected tomorrow night into Sunday morning.




jM

April 21, 2016

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day:  0800 Thursday

The Snapshot:  Clouds roll in today with a chance of light rain and possibly a thunderstorm or two.  Cooler with rain starting tomorrow and lasting through the weekend.  

The Science:  Surface temperatures peaked around 650 yesterday and should climb into the 600 again today.   A cold unstable air mass begins to push in tomorrow with rain showers developing through the weekend. With the cool, moist air hitting the warm, dry air, cumulus build up with thunderstorms will be possible.

Rain showers begin tomorrow and will last through Saturday. More steady light rain can be expected on Sunday.  It doesn’t appear that temperatures will not be low enough to get any snow accumulation, but there could certainly be some snow mixed in.

The Long Range:   Next week will be cooler with periodic rain showers throughout.  

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water = .10 Snow = 0

Tomorrow’s 24hr water = .25 snow = 0

Trend and Timing:
Rain showers tomorrow and Saturday. 


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low:  36   High: 62
Freezing level: +- 10,000’ – 7000’

Trend and Timing:   
Temperatures will begin to fall tomorrow with freezing levels dropping to  +- 5000’ on Saturday morning.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base: 0- 5 W
Ridge Top: 0-5  W
Trend and Timing:
 Light easterly flow with shift westerly today.




jM

April 20, 2016

MOUNTAIN WEATHER BRIEF


Time and Day: 0900 Wednesday

The Snapshot:   Clear and warm again today with a chance of a light rain shower or two tomorrow.   Rain or even snow can be expected over the weekend.

The Science:  With another new record high temperature for April being set at Sea-tac this week, (890 ) it’s hard to imagine that it could snow.

A strong low-pressure system developing in the Gulf of Alaska will push a vigorous cold front through the region on Friday.  Freezing levels are expected to drop below 4000’ late Friday night with this system; therefore, expect rain and snow throughout the weekend.

The Long Range:  Next week will start out dry and cool with another batch of mixed snow and rain expected on Tuesday/Wednesday.


April 18, 2016

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

This week’s weather forecast has changed a bit since Saturdays forecast. 

The Science:  High pressure over the PNW will block and split any incoming disturbance for all of this week.  Therefore expect mostly dry and clear weather with seasonally average temperatures throughout the week.

The Long Range:  Some light rain with cooler temperatures is expected for the final weekend of the ski season.

Have a great week.


jM

April 17, 2016

8am Start for Teardown 4/18 and Next Weekend

If there's a reason to come in before 8am next weekend Angela will contact you. Have a good summer!

-253

April 16, 2016

8am Start Sunday April 17 SBAON

SPRINGFEST!!!

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0730 Saturday

The Snapshot:  Dry and warm today with increasing high clouds.  Clear and warmer tomorrow, rain returns late next week.

The Science:  A warm front brushing the NW corner of the state today will allow high clouds to drift over the mountains.  High pressure building over the interior West will strengthen today pushing surface temperatures into the 50’s and maybe even 60 tomorrow. 

The Long Range:  Dry, warm and mostly clear weather will persist through at least Tuesday.  A cooler push of moisture is expected to enter the coastal waters on Wednesday night/ Thursday. 

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water = 0 Snow =0

Tomorrow’s 24hr water = 0 snow = 0

Trend and Timing:
0

24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low: 34    High: 50
Freezing level: +8000’.

Trend and Timing:   
Rising freezing levels today with temperatures struggling to drop below freezing tomorrow morning.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base:  0- 5 E
Ridge Top: 0-10 ESE

Trend and Timing:
Light easterly winds today and tomorrow.





jM

April 13, 2016

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0800 Wednesday

The Snapshot:  Mostly dry and cloudy today with more mixed snow and rain showers tomorrow.   Dry and warmer weather developing for the weekend.  

The Science:  A cold front moved through last night lowering temperatures and producing a dusting of snow.  Another frontal system will swing through tonight continuing the mixed rain and snow shower trend tomorrow morning.  The precipitation will lean toward the snow side as freezing levels drop a bit further with the passing of the front late tonight.  The precipitation tapers off tomorrow afternoon as high pressure begins to build over the mountains.

The Long Range:  Dry and warmer weather enters the region on Friday as the high pressure strengthens.  Dry and warm weather continue through the weekend.

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water = .25  Snow = 1-3

Tomorrow’s 24hr water = .25  snow = 1-3

Trend and Timing:
Light scattered snow and rain showers arrive tonight and will continue through tomorrow afternoon.


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low: 26    High: 36
Freezing level: +- 4500’

Trend and Timing:   
Freezing levels will hover around 4-4500’ with good daytime warming expected.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base:  0- 5 E
Ridge Top: 0-10 E

Trend and Timing:
East flow develops today and then shifts WSW tomorrow. 




jM

April 10, 2016

Start time April 11-14

Stevens Pass has decided to give us the week off between Monday and Thursday in honor of my birthday (and Drew and Pete's). Come up whenever you want, just don't expect to punch in. We'll post Friday's start time Thursday afternoon.

-253

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0800 Sunday

The Snapshot:  Dry and warm again today with increasing clouds. 

The Science: A low-pressure system developing in the Gulf of Alaska will bring change to the weather pattern next week.  Rain and even some snow will begin late tomorrow night and continue into Wednesday. 

The Long Range:  Cooler with passing rain and snow showers will be the pattern through most of next week. 

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water =  0 Snow = 0

Tomorrow’s 24hr water = 0 snow = 0

Trend and Timing:
0


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low:  32   High: 50
Freezing level: 8000’ – 6000.'

Trend and Timing:   
Freezing level will slowly fall through the next few days.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base: 0-5 W
Ridge Top: 0-10 W

Trend and Timing:
Light westerly flow today and tomorrow.




jM

April 9, 2016

8:00 Start Sun Apr 10th no abs

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0800 Saturday

The Snapshot:  Continued clear but a bit cooler today and tomorrow.  Clouds roll in on Monday with rain/snow on Tuesday.

The Science:  The weather pattern will continue to be clear and dry with cooler air filtering in from the north.   A marine push will bring cooler air west of the mountains and eventually clouds and moisture to the Cascade early next week.   

The Long Range:  A low-pressure system developing in the Gulf of Alaska will push the high pressure east of the State on Tuesday.   Much cooler air with some precipitation (rain and snow) will begin on Tuesday.

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water = 0 Snow = 0

Tomorrow’s 24hr water =  0 snow = 0

Trend and Timing:
Dry until Tuesday.


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low:  34   High: 50
Freezing level: 9000’ - 6000’

Trend and Timing:   
Freezing levels will remain well above Pass level.  Cooler air aloft should allow early morning temperatures to dip to freezing for the next several days.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base: 0- 5 NW
Ridge Top: 0- 10 WNW

Trend and Timing:
Light northwesterly flow will continue through tomorrow.  




jM

April 8, 2016

8am Start Saturday April 9 NO ABS

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0800 Friday

The Snapshot:  Hit repeat today with sunshine and temperatures once again in the mid to upper 50’s.  A cooling trend begins tomorrow.   The steeps are sliding in the afternoon heat (snowpack is isothermal) so watch it out there.

The Science:  Washington State is nestled between two strong high pressure ridges; one to the east and one to the west.  The western ridge is expected to drift over the region over the next 24-48hrs.  Cooler air from the north will start to bring freezing levels down a bit. Hopefully, that will help firm up the snowpack a bit.  

The Long Range:  Next week will start out dry and cooler with light rain expected on Wednesday. 

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water =  0 Snow = 0
Tomorrow’s 24hr water = 0 snow = 0

Trend and Timing:
0


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low: 32    High: 55
Freezing level: 10,000’ – 5000’

Trend and Timing:   
Early morning low temperatures are expected to drop to near freezing over the next few days.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base: 0-5 WNW
Ridge Top: 0-10 WNW

Trend and Timing:
Winds will shift NW today and continue that pattern through tomorrow.





jM

April 7, 2016

8am Start Friday April 8 NO ABS

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0700 Thursday

The Snapshot: Another beautiful day with temperatures topping 600f and maybe even 700 in the direct sun. Record high temperatures are expected to get crushed today with temperatures possibly topping 800f  in parts of the state.

The Science:  The barometer topped out at 1028mb yesterday and will climb a bit further today.  Temperatures will be a few degrees warmer today with some breezy easterly winds for some relief.  Cooler air starts to invade tomorrow night with the weekend temperatures closer to seasonal norms.

The Long Range: High pressure with cooler temperatures will dominate the weather pattern into early next week. 

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water =  0 Snow = 0

Tomorrow’s 24hr water = 0 snow = 0

Trend and Timing:
0

24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low: 40    High: 65
Freezing level:  + 10,000’

Trend and Timing:   
Just freaking warm.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base: 0-10 E
Ridge Top: 5-10 E

Trend and Timing:
Some gusty easterly winds will be possible today.




jM

April 6, 2016

8:00 Start Thur Apr 7th no abs

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0800 Wednesday

The Snapshot:  Dry and warmer today with continued clearing.

The Science:  The clouds will continue to break up today as the atmosphere stabilizes.  A very warm airmass (warmest of the year) will settle over the region with temperature climbing into the upper 60’s by Friday.  The eastern basin could see record highs in the 800f – yikes, it’s a bit soon for that.  

The Long Range:  The dry and warm weather will continue through the weekend.

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water =  0 Snow = 0

Tomorrow’s 24hr water =  0 snow = 0

Trend and Timing:
  0

24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low: 32    High: 50
Freezing level: 4500’ - 7000’

Trend and Timing:   
Freezing levels could top 12,000’ by Friday.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base:  0- 5 W shifting E
Ridge Top: 0- 5 W shifting E

Trend and Timing:
Light westerly winds today.  East flow develops tomorrow.  




jM

0800 Thurs March 28th, No ABS